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NEWS & ANALYSIS POSTS

Commodities Trading Update: Jan 25 - Intraday Signals

Today's Commodities Signals:


- Oil on the Rise: U.S. crude stockpiles see significant drop, exceeding expectations. Prices of Brent and WTI crude ascend as markets digest the draw and Chinese stimulus prospects.

- Brent Crude Futures: Up by 0.5% to $80.45 a barrel, reflecting optimism over economic recovery and stimulus measures in China.

- WTI Crude: Increase of 0.6% to $75.53 a barrel, buoyed by a substantial decline in U.S. oil inventories and Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions.

- Gold Prices Waver: Anticipation of U.S. economic data keeps traders cautious, with gold prices experiencing slight recovery after recent drops.

- Copper Remains Strong: Continues near three-week highs, bolstered by additional stimulus from China's central bank, offsetting concerns about demand in the largest copper-importing country.

- Market Watch: Investors await U.S. GDP and PCE price index data, with implications for gold rates and broader commodity pricing strategies.


Commodities Trading Signals

  XAU/USD (Gold)   XAG/USD (Silver)  WTI (CL-Oil)  BRENT CRUDE (OKOUSD)  COPPER (Cr)


XAU/USD Gold, A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 XAU/USD Gold

Intraday Commodities Signal - January 25, 2024


Commodity: Gold (XAUUSD)


Pivot Point: 2,021.32


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 58%


Yesterday's Trend

Gold (XAUUSD) has shown signs of retreating, indicating a bearish bias in the market.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: The current volatility is moderate, suggesting cautious market sentiment.

- Moving Average (MA): Gold is trading below the MA, signaling a potential downtrend continuation.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, which traditionally indicates a bearish trend.

- RSI: The RSI is under 50, reinforcing the current bearish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is nearing the lower Bollinger Band, potentially signaling oversold conditions.

- MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, supporting the bearish outlook.

- Volume: Trading volume is steady, indicating a firm trend.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Sell:

- 1st Target (1st Support): 2,006.31

- 2nd Target (2nd Support): 1,996.21

- 3rd Target (3rd Support): 1,981.20


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Sell: Set the stop loss just above the pivot point at 2,031.42.


Suggestion

Given the bearish signals, consider entering a sell position with targets set at the identified support levels, and place a stop loss just above the pivot point to mitigate risk.


"Promotional banner for Vantage featuring floating currency symbols like the dollar, euro, and yen with upward orange arrows, indicating growth in Forex trading. Includes a 'Trade Now' button and a disclaimer about the risks of trading derivatives."

XAU/USD Silver, A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 XAG/USD (Silver) 

Intraday Commodities Signal - January 25, 2024


Commodity: Silver (XAG/USD)


Pivot Point: 22.66


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 57%


Yesterday's Trend

Despite recent fluctuations, Silver (XAG/USD) is showing a rebound, suggesting a bullish trend is taking shape.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Moderate volatility hints at an active market with potential for upward price movements.

- Moving Average (MA): Silver is positioned just below the MA, indicating a potential for a bullish crossover.

- Ichimoku Cloud: Price action is near the Ichimoku Cloud; a break above could confirm a bullish trend.

- RSI: The RSI is approaching the 50 level, which might signal increasing bullish momentum if crossed.

- Bollinger Bands: Prices are between the middle and lower band, providing room for an upward price correction.

- MACD: The MACD line is close to crossing above the signal line, a bullish trend signal.

- Volume: Steady volumes suggest a growing interest in silver, potentially supporting an uptrend.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 22.97

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 23.2738

- 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 23.59


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: Place the stop loss at the 1st Support level of 22.3552.


Suggestion

With bullish indicators, taking a buy position could be advantageous, aiming for the resistance levels. A stop loss below the pivot point would help manage risk.


WTI Crude Oil, A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 WTI Crude Oil (CL-Oil))

Intraday Commodities Signal - January 25, 2024


Commodity: Crude Oil WTI (CL-Oil)


Pivot Point: 75.14


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 60%


Yesterday's Trend

WTI Crude displayed an upward trend, which suggests bullish momentum.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Experiencing moderate volatility, indicating a solid market interest and potential for price movement.

- Moving Average (MA): WTI is positioned above the MA, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, reinforcing a bullish market stance.

- RSI: The RSI is above 50, which supports the current uptrend.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is closer to the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting the market is in a higher trading range.

- MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line and increasing, confirming bullish market sentiment.

- Volume: Volume remains robust, indicating strong interest and a solid trend.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 75.78

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 76.4767

- 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 77.12


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: Position the stop loss just below the pivot point at 74.4433.


Suggestion

Based on the bullish indicators, consider a buy position targeting the resistance levels mentioned. Placing the stop loss below the pivot point helps manage the risk.



"Promotional banner for Vantage featuring floating currency symbols like the dollar, euro, and yen with upward orange arrows, indicating growth in Forex trading. Includes a 'Trade Now' button and a disclaimer about the risks of trading derivatives."


BRENT CRUDE (OKOUSD)  A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢BRENT CRUDE (UKOUSD)  

UKOUSD



Intraday Commodities Signal - [January 25, 2024]


Instrument: Brent Oil (UKOUSDFT)


Pivot Point: 79.94


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: High


Yesterday's Trend

Brent Oil displayed an uptick in momentum, building on bullish sentiment likely fueled by inventory drawdowns and economic stimulus measures.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Increasing, a reflection of market optimism and potential for price swings.

- Moving Average (MA): Brent Oil trading above the MA, indicating a sustained bullish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: If price remains above the Ichimoku Cloud, it suggests bullish continuity.

- RSI: Approaching overbought territory, cautioning of potential consolidation ahead.

- MACD: Showing bullish crossover, reinforcing the positive outlook.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 80.83

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 81.6200

- 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 82.51

Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: Setting a stop loss near the first support level at 79.1500 is prudent to manage risk.


Suggestion

Initiating a long position with targets set at the identified resistance levels, considering a tight stop loss just below the first support, can capitalize on the bullish trend.


Copper  A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 Copper

Intraday Commodity Signal - January 25, 2024


Commodity: Copper


Pivot Point: 3.85


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 62%


Yesterday's Trend

Copper exhibited a volatile trend, indicating a market struggling with divergent forces.

Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Increasing, suggesting greater trading opportunities and risk.

- Moving Average (MA): Copper is above the MA, implying a bullish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the cloud, indicating a potential upward trend continuation.

- RSI: The RSI is around 59, suggesting the market is neither overbought nor oversold.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is nearing the upper band, signaling potential resistance or a continuation if a breakout occurs.

- MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line but close, indicating a possible bullish momentum but also that caution is warranted.

- Volume: A lack of significant volume suggests caution, as the current trend may not have strong support.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 3.9493

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 4.01

- 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 4.05 (projected beyond current resistance levels)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: Set the stop loss at 3.76, just below the recent low and psychological support level.


Suggestion

Based on the indicators, a buy position is suggested, targeting the 1st Resistance level, with a stop loss set at the support level of 3.76. Should the price break through the 1st Resistance convincingly, traders might consider holding for the 2nd Resistance target at 4.01, with the same stop loss level to protect against downside risk.

 

Disclaimer: These Commodities Trading Signals are based on the current charts and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.


As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.

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