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NEWS & ANALYSIS POSTS

Daily Forex Signals & Market Insights: February 12- Intraday Focus


- AUD/USD and NZD/USD: Bearish due to falling Australian and New Zealand bonds and stocks.

- USD/JPY: Neutral to slightly bullish with the yen showing some recovery.

- EUR/USD: Slightly bullish with a marginal rise in the euro.

- USD/CNY: Neutral, given the stable offshore yuan.

- Oil-linked currencies (CAD, RUB): Bearish, in line with falling oil prices.

- Gold-linked currencies: Neutral, as gold prices remain stable.

- General USD Pairs: Neutral to bullish. The focus on U.S. CPI, retail sales, and PPI data, along with remarks from at least 7 Fed officials this week, could strengthen the USD if data is positive.

- Fed Rate Decision Impact on USD: Mixed. Fed's caution on rate cuts without more proof of declining inflation suggests potential USD strength, affecting all major pairs.


DXY Dollar Index, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 Dollar Index


Forex Trade Signals

EUR/USD  GBP/USD  USD/JPY  USD/CHF  NZD/USD  AUD/USD USD/CAD  EUR/GBP  


EUR/USD A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 EUR/USD

Asset: EURUSD


Pivot Point: 1.0770


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate - The direction is bearish due to the current EURUSD price being below the pivot point. The moderate confidence stems from the rangebound activity indicated by the charts, with no strong directional momentum suggested by the indicators.


Friday's Trend

The EURUSD showed rangebound behavior, suggesting a lack of clear directional bias and consolidation in the market.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Relatively stable as indicated by the current Average True Range (ATR) readings.

- Moving Average (MA): With EURUSD below the Moving Average, it implies a potential bearish inclination.

- Ichimoku Cloud: Since the price is below the cloud, this could indicate a bearish trend.

- RSI: The RSI is below the midpoint but not yet in oversold territory, suggesting there may be room for downward movement.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is closer to the lower band, which may indicate bearish momentum.

- MACD: The MACD is below the signal line and negative, supporting the bearish trend direction.

- Volume: The actual volume data is not provided, so its impact cannot be included in the analysis.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Sell:

- 1st Target (1st Support): 1.0749

- 2nd Target (2nd Support): 1.0720

- 3rd Target (Third Support): 1.0699


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Sell: Set the stop loss at the 1st Resistance level of 1.0799.


Suggestion

The indicators suggest initiating a sell position with the first target set at the 1st support level. A stop loss should be placed at the 1st resistance level to manage the risk.


Viewpoint Recap

The current analysis for EURUSD suggests a bearish approach for the day, with moderate confidence due to the price being below the pivot point and technical indicators supporting a downward trend. However, the overall market's rangebound state calls for a careful and measured approach to trading.



Asset: GBP/USD


Pivot Point: 1.260


Trade Direction: Bullish (as the current price is above the pivot point at 1.262)


Trade Confidence: Moderate (RSI is neutral, and MACD is slightly above the signal line)


Friday's Trend: The chart does not show a clear trend with price oscillating around the moving averages.


Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: Low (ATR at 0.00263 indicates low volatility)

- Moving Average (MA): Neutral (Price is weaving through the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a lack of clear trend)

- Ichimoku Cloud: Indecisive (Price is within the Cloud, indicating a potential transition or lack of trend)

- RSI: Neutral (RSI is around 52.95, which is neither overbought nor oversold)

- Bollinger Bands: Price is moving within the bands without touching the edges, indicating a lack of strong momentum

- MACD: Slightly Bullish (MACD line is just above the signal line, but without strong momentum)

- Volume Oscillator: Negative (-21.27% which indicates lower trading volume, suggesting caution)


🎯 Profit Targets for Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 1.265

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 1.267

- 3rd Target (Third Resistance): 1.269


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines for Buy:

- Set the stop loss at the 1st Support level of: 1.258


Suggestion:

Consider a cautious long position due to the price being above the pivot point and a slightly bullish MACD. However, the neutral RSI and the price action within the Ichimoku Cloud suggest a lack of strong directional bias. The negative volume oscillator also implies that any upward movement may not have strong support. Thus, close monitoring of the position is advised with a stop loss set at the first support level.


Viewpoint Recap:

With the GBP/USD positioned above the pivot point and some bullish indicators, a moderate bullish bias is suggested. However, the mixed signals from other indicators warrant a cautious approach to trading this pair.




Asset: USD/JPY


Pivot Point: 149.0033


Trade Direction: Bullish (as the current price is above the pivot point at 149.30)


Trade Confidence: Moderate (Considering the RSI is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, and the MACD is above the signal line but close to a crossover)


Friday's Trend: The chart indicates a recent uptrend, as shown by the consistent higher highs and higher lows.


Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: Low (ATR at 0.339 indicates low volatility)

- Moving Average (MA): Bullish (Price is above the Ichimoku Cloud)

- Ichimoku Cloud: Bullish (Price is above the Cloud, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend)

- RSI: Neutral (RSI is around 63.39, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions)

- Bollinger Bands: Nearing the upper band, which could indicate a strengthening trend or potential resistance ahead

- MACD: Bullish (MACD line is above the signal line but attention should be paid to a potential crossover)

- Volume Oscillator: Negative (-19.50% indicates lower trading volume which could question the strength of the current trend)


🎯 Profit Targets for Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 149.57

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 149.8667

- 3rd Target (Third Resistance): 150.14


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines for Buy:

- Set the stop loss at the 1st Support level of: 148.73


Suggestion:

Given the current bullish trend and market indicators, entering a long position may be favorable. However, traders should be cautious of the potential for a trend reversal indicated by the proximity of the MACD lines and the negative volume oscillator. Setting a stop loss at the first support level would mitigate risk.


Viewpoint Recap:

With the price above the pivot point and key indicators showing a bullish trend, there is moderate confidence in a continued upward movement for USD/JPY. However, keep an eye on the MACD for early signs of a potential reversal and be aware of the lower trade volume which may affect trend strength.




Asset: USD/CHF


Pivot Point: 0.8736


Trade Direction: Bullish (as the current price is 0.8750, which is above the pivot point)


Trade Confidence: Moderate (The RSI is neutral, and the MACD is close to the signal line, indicating a lack of strong momentum)


Friday's Trend: The chart indicates some consolidation with a slight bullish bias as the price is above the moving average.


Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: Low (ATR at 0.00192 suggests low market volatility)

- Moving Average (MA): Bullish (Price above the Ichimoku Cloud suggests a bullish trend)

- Ichimoku Cloud: Bullish (Price is above the Cloud, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend)

- RSI: Neutral (RSI around 59.70, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions)

- Bollinger Bands: Price is between the bands, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum

- MACD: Neutral to Bullish (MACD line is very close to the signal line but above it)

- Volume Oscillator: Negative (-19.19% indicates lower trading volume)


🎯 Profit Targets for Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 0.8768

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 0.8782

- 3rd Target (Third Resistance): 0.8800


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines for Buy:

- Set the stop loss at the 1st Support level of: 0.8718


Suggestion:

Given the current price position above the pivot point and the bullish indicators from the Ichimoku Cloud and the MA, initiating a long position may be favorable. The trade confidence is moderate due to the neutral RSI and the proximity of the MACD line to the signal line. Setting a stop loss at the first support level would mitigate risk, and profit targets are set at subsequent resistance levels.


Viewpoint Recap:

The USD/CHF is showing a moderate bullish signal with the current price above the pivot point and some indicators suggesting a continued uptrend. However, the low volatility and negative volume oscillator advise caution and suggest tight risk management practices.



Asset: NZD/USD


Pivot Point: 0.614


Trade Direction: Bearish (as the current price action and indicators suggest a potential for downward movement)


Trade Confidence: Moderate (Indicators provide a mixed view, but the bearish direction is indicated by the user's assessment of the chart)


Friday's Trend: Not explicitly obvious, but the chart suggests some consolidation with the price fluctuating around the moving averages.


Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: Low (ATR at 0.00201 suggests low volatility, which might limit the range of price movement)

- Moving Average (MA): Bearish (If the price is moving below the MA, this would suggest a bearish trend)

- Ichimoku Cloud: Bearish (If the price is below the Cloud, it indicates a bearish trend)

- RSI: Neutral (RSI around 56.24, no clear overbought or oversold signal)

- Bollinger Bands: Price position within the bands can be interpreted as bearish if it's trending towards the lower band

- MACD: Bearish (If the MACD line is trending down or below the signal line)

- Volume Oscillator: Negative (-16.09% indicates lower trading volume which could signal a lack of strong buying pressure)


🎯 Profit Targets for Sell:

  • 1st Target (1st Support): 0.614 (Pivot Point)

  • 2nd Target (2nd Support): 0.609

  • 3rd Target (Third Support): 0.607


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines for Sell:

- Set the stop loss at the 1st Resistance level of: 0.618


Suggestion:

Based on the bearish trade direction, it may be advisable to enter a short position. The first profit target is set at the 1st support level, with further targets set at subsequent support levels. A stop loss has been recommended at the 1st resistance level to manage risk effectively.


Viewpoint Recap:

The current analysis of NZD/USD suggests a bearish approach, with moderate confidence due to the price being just above the pivot point but other indicators pointing downwards. The mixed signals from the indicators call for a cautious trading strategy with careful risk management.



Asset: AUD/USD


Pivot Point: 0.649


Trade Direction: Bearish (as the current price is 0.652, which is above the pivot point, indicating the user's expectation of a downward price movement)


Trade Confidence: Moderate (The indicators such as RSI and MACD suggest a neutral to bearish outlook)


Friday's Trend: The 4 hour chart indicates a recent downtrend with the price below the Ichimoku Cloud.


Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: Low (ATR at 0.00535 indicates low volatility, suggesting smaller price movements)

- Moving Average (MA): Bearish (Price below the Ichimoku Cloud suggests a bearish trend)

- Ichimoku Cloud: Bearish (Price below the Cloud confirms the bearish sentiment)

- RSI: Neutral (RSI close to 39 could indicate a potential for further downside if it moves towards oversold territory)

- Bollinger Bands: The price is closer to the lower band, which can indicate bearish momentum

- MACD: Bearish (MACD line below the signal line supports a bearish trend)

- Volume Oscillator: Negative (-23.55% indicating lower trading volume, which may suggest a lack of strong buying pressure)


🎯 Profit Targets for Sell:

- 1st Target (1st Support): 0.647

- 2nd Target (2nd Support): 0.644

- 3rd Target (Third Support): 0.620


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines for Sell:

- Set the stop loss at the 1st Resistance level of: 0.654


Suggestion:

A short position could be considered given the bearish indicators, with the first profit target set at the 1st support level. A stop loss is recommended at the 1st resistance level to minimize potential losses.


Viewpoint Recap:

The AUD/USD is approached with a bearish view, with technical indicators like the MACD and the price's position relative to the Ichimoku Cloud supporting a downward trend.


The trade is taken with moderate confidence due to the current price being slightly above the pivot point, indicating the possibility of an initial upward fluctuation before the expected decline.



Asset: USD/CAD


Pivot Point: 1.342


Trade Direction: Bullish (as the current price is 1.345, which is above the pivot point)


Trade Confidence: Moderate (The RSI and MACD suggest a neutral stance, but the current price above the pivot point provides a bullish inclination)


Friday's Trend: The chart shows a recent sideways trend within a range.


Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: Low (ATR at 0.00228 indicates low market volatility, suggesting smaller price movements)

- Moving Average (MA): Bullish (Price above the Ichimoku Cloud would suggest a bullish trend)

- Ichimoku Cloud: Bullish (Price above the Cloud confirms the bullish sentiment)

- RSI: Neutral (RSI close to 48.31 is neither overbought nor oversold)

- Bollinger Bands: Neutral (Price is within the bands, suggesting no extreme volatility)

- MACD: Neutral (MACD line is close to the signal line, indicating no clear trend)

- Volume Oscillator: Negative (-21.09% indicating lower trading volume)


🎯 Profit Targets for Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 1.349

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 1.352

- 3rd Target (Third Resistance): 1.356


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines for Buy:

- Set the stop loss at the 1st Support level of: 1.338


Suggestion:

A long position could be considered given the bullish indications, with the first profit target set at the 1st resistance level. A stop loss is recommended at the 1st support level to minimize potential losses.


Viewpoint Recap:

The USD/CAD is approached with a bullish view, with the current price above the pivot point suggesting upward potential. Technical indicators are neutral, advising cautious trade management with the low volatility environment in mind.



Asset: EUR/GBP


Pivot Point: 0.853


Trade Direction: Bullish (as the current price is 0.854, which is slightly above the pivot point)


Trade Confidence: Moderate (The RSI is neutral and MACD is around the signal line, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction)


Friday's Trend: The chart suggests some consolidation with a slight upward trend as the price is above the moving average.


Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: Low (ATR at 0.00116 indicates low volatility, suggesting smaller price movements)

- Moving Average (MA): Bullish (Price above the Ichimoku Cloud indicates a bullish trend)

- Ichimoku Cloud: Bullish (Price above the Cloud suggests upward momentum)

- RSI: Neutral (RSI is near the midpoint at 53.61, suggesting no strong overbought or oversold conditions)

- Bollinger Bands: Price is within the bands, indicating no extreme volatility

- MACD: Neutral (MACD line is very close to the signal line, indicating no clear trend)

- Volume Oscillator: Negative (-19.07% indicating lower trading volume)


🎯 Profit Targets for Buy:

- 1st Target (1st Resistance): 0.855

- 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 0.856

- 3rd Target (Third Resistance): 0.857


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines for Buy:

- Set the stop loss at the 1st Support level of: 0.852


Suggestion:

Considering the current price is above the pivot point and indicators are leaning towards a bullish bias, a long position could be considered. It's important to maintain a tight stop loss due to the low volatility and negative volume oscillator which suggest that strong moves are less likely.


Viewpoint Recap:

EUR/GBP presents a moderate bullish outlook with the current price above the pivot point. However, traders should proceed with caution due to the mixed signals from technical indicators and overall low volatility in the market.


 

Disclaimer: These Forex Trade Signals are based on the current charts and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.


As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.


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