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NEWS & ANALYSIS POSTS

Forex Signals: Technical Analysis, December 4, 2023

Currencies

  • USD Dynamics: Weakening against major pairs post-Fed comments.


DXY Dollar Index, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
The Dollar Index, a popular gauge of the Greenback’s value against a basket of 6 major currencies

Gold

  • New Record High: Surpassed August 2020 peak, responding to dovish Fed remarks.

  • Fed's Influence: Powell's comments on monetary policy sparked gold rally.

  • Market Drivers: Haven buying post-Hamas attacks and US rate cut expectations.

Oil

  • Price Decline: Brent trends toward $78/barrel, WTI below $74.

  • OPEC+ Dynamics: Scepticism over impact of production cuts.

  • Geopolitical Factors: Middle East tensions influencing market stability.


Today's Forex Signals


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Intraday Forex Signal: XAUUSD


Pair: XAUUSD (Gold / U.S. Dollar)


Pivot Point: 2060.27


Current Price Trend: The current price of XAUUSD is above the pivot point, indicating a bullish trend.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands on the daily chart show an expansion, indicating increasing volatility and potential for larger price movements.

Moving Average (MA): The price is above the Moving Average, suggesting bullish momentum.

Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating that the market is in a bullish phase.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is trending upwards and is above the midpoint of 50, which supports the bullish sentiment.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 70% - The indicators show a strong bullish trend with increased volatility and momentum.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy: Targets are set at the resistance levels.

    • 1st Target: 2086.61 (1st Resistance)

    • 2nd Target: 2101.28 (2nd Resistance)

    • 3rd Target: 2127.62 (3rd Resistance)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: If going long, set the stop loss at 2045.60 (1st Support).

Suggestion: Given the current bullish indicators, a long position could be considered. Entry around the pivot point with stop loss at the first support level and targets set at the consecutive resistance levels would align with the current market dynamics.


Intraday Forex Signal: WTI (Crude Oil)


Pair: WTI (West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil)


Pivot Point: 74.92


Current Price Trend: The current price of WTI is just below the pivot point, indicating a slight bearish inclination.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands are converging, suggesting decreasing volatility and a potential consolidation phase.

Moving Average (MA): The price is oscillating around the Moving Average, which does not confirm a strong trend.

Ichimoku Cloud: Currently not applicable as we do not have a visible Ichimoku Cloud in the chart provided.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is trending just below 50, which is in the neutral territory but leaning towards bearish sentiment.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 60% - The indicators present a cautious bearish bias; however, the proximity to the pivot point and neutral RSI suggest a less confident bearish stance.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell: Targets are set at the support levels.

    • 1st Target: 73.08 (1st Support)

    • 2nd Target: 72.09 (2nd Support)

    • 3rd Target: 70.25 (3rd Support)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 75.91 (1st Resistance).

Suggestion: Given the slight bearish indicators, a short position could be considered. Entry just below the pivot point with stop loss at the first resistance level and targets set at the consecutive support levels would be consistent with the current market dynamics.


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Intraday Forex Signal: EURUSD (Euro / U.S. Dollar)


Pair: EURUSD


Pivot Point: 1.088


Current Price Trend: The price of EURUSD is currently below the pivot point, indicating a potential for a bearish trend.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands are moderately wide, suggesting a stable level of volatility, which could lead to significant price movements.

Moving Average (MA): The price is trading slightly below the Moving Average, which could suggest bearish momentum.

Ichimoku Cloud: Not visible in the provided chart, hence no analysis can be made on this indicator.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is near the 50 mark, indicating a neutral momentum with no clear overbought or oversold conditions.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 65% - The close proximity to the pivot point and the RSI's neutral stance give a moderate probability to the bearish trend.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell: Targets are set at the following support levels:

    • 1st Target: 1.084 (1st Support)

    • 2nd Target: 1.079 (2nd Support)

    • 3rd Target: 1.075 (3rd Support)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 1.092 (1st Resistance).

Suggestion: Considering the slight bearish bias, entering a short position might be favorable. Initiating a trade just below the pivot point, with a stop loss at the first resistance and profit targets at the identified support levels, could be prudent.


However, the neutral RSI suggests keeping an eye on the market for any shifts in momentum.



Intraday Forex Signal: GBPUSD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar)


Pair: GBPUSD


Pivot Point: 1.268


Current Price Trend: The current price is above the pivot point, indicating a potential bullish trend.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands show a moderate expansion, suggesting a stable volatility conducive to trending movements.

Moving Average (MA): The price is above the Moving Average, suggesting bullish momentum.

Ichimoku Cloud: Not visible in the provided chart, hence no analysis can be made on this indicator.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is above 50, leaning towards bullish momentum.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 70% - Given the price position relative to the Moving Average and the pivot point, along with a supportive RSI, there's a strong indication of a continuing uptrend.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy: Targets are set at the following resistance levels:

    • 1st Target: 1.275 (1st Resistance)

    • 2nd Target: 1.278 (2nd Resistance)

    • 3rd Target: 1.285 (3rd Resistance)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: If going long, set the stop loss at 1.264 (1st Support).

Suggestion: A long position may be considered given the bullish indicators. Entering a trade near the pivot point with a stop loss set at the first support level and profit targets at the identified resistance levels is suggested.




Intraday Forex Signal: USDJPY


Pair: USDJPY


Pivot Point: 147.273


Current Price Trend: The current price is below the pivot point, which can indicate a bearish trend.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands are wide, suggesting a high level of volatility and potential for significant price movements.

Moving Average (MA): The price appears to be trading below the Moving Average, indicating bearish momentum.

Ichimoku Cloud: Not visible in the provided chart, so no analysis can be made on this indicator.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is trending downwards and is below 50, indicating bearish momentum.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 65% - The price below the pivot point and the RSI suggest a bearish outlook, although the volatility could imply potential reversals or swings.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell: Targets are set at the support levels.

    • 1st Target: 146.197 (1st Support)

    • 2nd Target: 145.583 (2nd Support)

    • 3rd Target: 144.507 (3rd Support)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 147.887 (1st Resistance).

Suggestion: A short position could be considered, given the bearish indicators. Traders may look to enter a trade below the pivot point with a stop loss at the first resistance level and take profits at the support levels outlined above.



Intraday Forex Signal: USDCHF


Pair: USDCHF


Pivot Point: 0.871


Current Price Trend: The current price is above the pivot point, which typically indicates a bullish trend.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands are moderately wide, suggesting a fair level of volatility and potential for price movement.

Moving Average (MA): The price is above the Moving Average, indicating bullish momentum.

Ichimoku Cloud: Not visible in the provided chart, so no analysis can be made on this indicator.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is trending upwards and is above 50, which supports the bullish momentum.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 70% - The price is above the pivot point and the RSI indicates bullish momentum, which suggests a strong probability of an uptrend continuation.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy: Targets are set at the resistance levels.

    • 1st Target: 0.875 (1st Resistance)

    • 2nd Target: 0.881 (2nd Resistance)

    • 3rd Target: 0.884 (3rd Resistance)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: If going long, set the stop loss at 0.866 (1st Support).

Suggestion: A long position could be considered, given the bullish indicators. Traders may look to enter a trade near the pivot point with a stop loss at the first support level and take profits at the resistance levels mentioned.



Intraday Forex Signal: NZDUSD


Pair: NZDUSD


Pivot Point: 0.6190


Current Price Trend: The price is below the pivot point, suggesting a possible bearish trend.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands indicate moderate volatility, with room for price fluctuation.

Moving Average (MA): The price is below the Moving Average, indicating a bearish trend.

Ichimoku Cloud: Not visible in the provided chart, so no analysis can be made on this indicator.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is nearing the 50 level from above, which may suggest a loss of bullish momentum, potentially turning bearish.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 60% - The current positioning below the pivot point and the Moving Average, combined with the RSI trend, points towards a bearish outlook with moderate probability.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell: Targets are set at the support levels.

    • 1st Target: 0.6169 (1st Support)

    • 2nd Target: 0.6127 (2nd Support)

    • 3rd Target: 0.6106 (3rd Support)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 0.6232 (1st Resistance).

Suggestion: Based on the bearish indicators, a short position could be considered. Traders might enter a trade below the pivot point, with a stop loss just above the first resistance level, and aim for profits at the subsequent support levels.



Intraday Forex Signal: AUDUSD


Pair: AUDUSD


Pivot Point: 0.6651

Current Price Trend: The price of AUDUSD is slightly below the pivot point, which could suggest a bearish sentiment.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands indicate moderate volatility, which can provide opportunities for price movement.

Moving Average (MA): The price action is around the Moving Average, indicating a potential change in momentum or indecision in the market.

Ichimoku Cloud: Not visible in the provided chart, so no analysis can be made on this indicator.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is near 60, indicating slight bullish momentum; however, the proximity to the pivot point might require confirmation for a strong trend.


Trade Direction: BEARISH (with caution due to RSI indication)


Trade Probability: 55% - The mixed signals from the RSI and the price's position relative to the pivot point suggest a cautious approach.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell: Targets are set at the support levels.

    • 1st Target: 0.6623 (1st Support)

    • 2nd Target: 0.6570 (2nd Support)

    • 3rd Target: 0.6542 (3rd Support)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 0.6704 (1st Resistance).

Suggestion: The analysis suggests a cautious bearish position could be considered, with entry points just below the pivot point. The stop loss should be placed above the first resistance level, with profit targets at the indicated support levels.



Intraday Forex Signal: USDCAD


Pair: USDCAD


Pivot Point: 1.3521


Current Price Trend: The price is currently below the pivot point, indicating a potential bearish trend.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands are showing moderate width, indicating a stable level of volatility.

Moving Average (MA): The price appears to be below the Moving Average, suggesting a bearish momentum.

Ichimoku Cloud: Not visible in the provided chart, so no analysis can be made on this indicator.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is declining and is below 50, which could indicate a bearish momentum.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 65% - Considering the price position relative to the pivot point and the Moving Average, as well as the RSI below 50, there's a reasonable probability for a bearish trend.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell: Targets are set at the support levels.

    • 1st Target: 1.3464 (1st Support)

    • 2nd Target: 1.3429 (2nd Support)

    • 3rd Target: 1.3372 (3rd Support)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 1.3556 (1st Resistance).

Suggestion: Traders might consider taking a short position, entering below the pivot point. The stop loss should be set just above the first resistance level, while profit targets could be established at the provided support levels.



Intraday Forex Signal: EURGBP


Pair: EURGBP


Pivot Point: 0.858


Current Price Trend: The price of EURGBP is below the pivot point, indicating a potential bearish trend.

Volatility: The Bollinger Bands are moderately wide, suggesting some level of volatility and the potential for price movements.

Moving Average (MA): The price is below the Moving Average, reinforcing the bearish trend indication.

Ichimoku Cloud: Not visible in the provided chart, so no analysis can be made on this indicator.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is trending downwards and is below 50, indicating bearish momentum.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 65% - Given the price's position relative to the pivot point and the Moving Average, along with a supportive RSI below 50, there's a reasonable probability for a continuation of the downtrend.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell: Targets are set at the support levels.

    • 1st Target: 0.852 (1st Support)

    • 2nd Target: 0.848 (2nd Support)

    • 3rd Target: 0.843 (3rd Support)


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 0.862 (1st Resistance).

Suggestion: Traders might consider a short position based on the bearish indicators, entering trades below the pivot point. The stop loss should be placed slightly above the first resistance level, while the profit targets should align with the aforementioned support levels.


 

Disclaimer: These trading signals is based on the current chart and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.



As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.



The information provided does not constitute, in any way, a solicitation or inducement to buy or sell securities and similar products.



Forex signals ,comments and analysis reflect the views of CHAMP PROFIT at any given time and are subject to change at any time. ©2023 by Champ Profit.



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