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NEWS & ANALYSIS POSTS

Technical Analysis: Intraday Forex Signals, November 2, 2023

Forex Headlines That Matter Today:


Markets are buoyant after the Fed signals a slowdown in rate hikes, impacting stocks, forex, oil, and gold.


forex factory calendar for todays main events
GMT time

Key Points:

  1. Fed's Dovish Turn: Suggests the nearing end of rate hikes, injecting optimism particularly in forex markets.

  2. Stock and Forex Response: Asian and U.S. stocks rise; major currencies like the yen and euro strengthen against the dollar.

  3. Gold and Oil Reaction: Gold remains steady, providing stability; oil prices bounce back, exceeding $81 per barrel.

  4. UK Rate Decision Impact: Today's Bank of England decision is crucial, especially for GBP pairs and gold.

  5. NFP Data Anticipation: Friday's US NFP release could notably sway forex and commodity markets, key for trading strategies.

 

The DXY Dollar Index is vital for forex traders to gauge overall U.S. dollar strength, informing trading strategies and signals across various USD forex pairs.


DXY/Dollar Index  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
The Dollar Index dropped after the latest FED meeting

Forex Signals


Gold, XAU/USD Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 XAU/USD (Gold) Technical Breakdown

Pair: XAUUSD


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 8/10


Indicators:

  • Volatility: Increasing with a noticeable uptrend in recent days.

  • Moving Average (MA): XAUUSD is trading above the Moving Average, indicating bullish momentum.

  • Ichimoku: The price is above the Kumo Cloud, suggesting a bullish sentiment.

  • RSI: The RSI is above 50, indicating a bullish momentum but not yet in the overbought region.

  • Bollinger Bands: Price is nearing the upper Bollinger Band, signaling potential resistance ahead.

  • Pivot Point: 1972.79

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

  • 1st Resistance Level: 1994.53

  • 2nd Resistance Level: 2004.05

  • 3rd Resistance Level: 2016.27

❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Set the stop loss at 1951.05, just below the most recent support.


Suggestion: Based on the current indicators and bullish sentiment, consider entering a long position targeting the provided resistance levels.

Monitor the upper Bollinger Band for potential resistance and be prepared to take profits at the mentioned targets. Ensure to keep the stop loss in place to protect your capital. Always trade responsibly.

WTI, Crude oil, Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil

Pair: WTI/USD


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: 7/10


Indicators:

  • Volatility: The recent choppy price action suggests increasing volatility.

  • Moving Average (MA): WTI is currently trading below its MA, indicating a potential bearish momentum. If the price remains below this level, it might suggest further downward pressure.

  • Ichimoku: The price is below the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bearish bias.

  • RSI: The Relative Strength Index is hovering around the mid-level, indicating a balanced momentum but with a slight bearish inclination.

  • Bollinger Bands: Price is oscillating around the middle band. A move towards the lower band could indicate a further drop in price.

  • Pivot Point: Noted in the chart.

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell:

    • 1st Support Level: 79.35

    • 2nd Support Level: 78.27

    • 3rd Support Level: 76.23


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at the first Resistance level of 82.47.

Suggestion: Considering the bearish indicators and the price currently trading below its MA, it might be a good opportunity to consider a short position with the targets mentioned above.


Always monitor global economic events and news that might affect oil prices before making a trading decision.


EUR/USD Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 EUR/USD

Pair: EUR/USD


Trade Direction: The EUR/USD is consolidating around the 1.0600 area. Considering its proximity to the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands and potential mean reversion, the direction is BULLISH.


Trade Probability: 7/10. The consolidation pattern and some bullish divergence hints give a relatively high likelihood of an upward movement.


Indicators:

  • Volatility: Stable, with a potential bounce-back upwards given its closeness to the Bollinger Band's lower boundary.

  • Moving Average (MA): Trading slightly below the MA, indicating potential support.

  • Ichimoku: A bearish sentiment dominates, but a bullish reversal is possible.

  • RSI: Around 50, suggesting potential bullish momentum with its slight uptick.

  • Bollinger Bands: Nearing the lower boundary, indicating a potential upward movement.


Pivot Point: The pivotal point is critical. A stay above supports the bullish outlook.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy:

    • 1st Resistance: 1.0640

    • 2nd Resistance: 1.0675

    • 3rd Resistance: 1.0710


Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: Set the stop loss below the pivot point, around 1.0580.


Suggestion: Initiate a long position with a bullish perspective. Monitor resistance levels for profit-taking and set a stop loss for risk management. Use this analysis as part of a comprehensive trading strategy.


GBP/USD Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 GBP/USD

Pair: GBPUSD


Yesterday's Trend: The GBPUSD showed a consolidative pattern, fluctuating within a range, and ultimately closing slightly lower than its opening price.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 65%


Indicators:

Volatility: The trading range for GBPUSD is narrowing, which suggests decreasing volatility. Traders should be vigilant for potential breakout movements.

Moving Average (MA): The pair is currently trading above the Moving Average, indicating a potential bullish momentum. If it maintains above the MA, this bullish trend might continue.

Ichimoku: The GBPUSD is hovering near the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a state of equilibrium. A clear move above the cloud would confirm the bullish sentiment.

RSI: The RSI is moving upwards, suggesting that there's bullish momentum building up. However, it's crucial to watch out for overbought conditions.

Bollinger Bands: GBPUSD is trading within the middle band, reflecting a period of consolidation. A break above the upper band can signal an incoming bullish trend.


Pivot Point: 1.2156


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

  • 1st Resistance: 1.218

  • 2nd Resistance: 1.221

  • 3rd Resistance: 1.225

❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:


Buy: If going long, set the stop loss at 1.211, which aligns with a significant Support level.


Suggestion: Based on the indicators, especially with the GBPUSD trading above its MA and the RSI showing an upward trend, it's suggested to consider a long (buy) position. However, it's vital to monitor the pivot point and adjust the strategy as market conditions evolve.


USD/JPY Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 USD/JPY

Intraday Forex Signal: USDJPY

  • Pair: USDJPY

  • Trade Direction: BEARISH

  • Trade Probability: 65%

Yesterday's Trend: The USDJPY pair showed a steady upward movement but faced resistance near the 152 mark.


Pivot Point: The pair seems to pivot around the 151.5 mark.


Indicators:

  • Volatility: Increasing, given the swift changes and the tightening Bollinger Bands.

  • Moving Average (MA): The pair is currently trading above the MA. If it stays above this line, bullish sentiment could return. However, recent candles hint at a potential reversal.

  • Ichimoku: The chart indicates a potential resistance ahead.

  • RSI: Approaching the overbought region, suggesting a possible bearish retracement.

  • Bollinger Bands: The pair is touching the upper band, which can be a sign of overextension and potential for a pullback.

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell:

  • 1st Target: 150.533

  • 2nd Target: 150.107

  • 3rd Target: 149.533

Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 152.107.

Suggestion: Considering the recent upward trend and current indicators, traders might consider taking a short position, targeting the levels mentioned above.


The RSI approaching overbought, combined with the proximity to the upper Bollinger Band, hints at potential retracement in the near term. Ensure to monitor the market closely and adjust strategies as required.


USD/CHF Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 USD/CHF

Intraday Forex Signals for USDCHF


Pair: USDCHF


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: 65% bearish movement based on current chart analysis.


Yesterday's Trend: The pair showed some consolidation before a bearish movement.


Pivot Point: 0.9212


Indicators:

Volatility: The volume seems relatively consistent with a few spikes indicating increased volatility at times.

Moving Average (MA): USDCHF is trading below its Moving Average, indicating potential continued bearish momentum.

Ichimoku: The pair is below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a bearish trend.

RSI: The RSI is nearing the overbought territory, suggesting possible price reversals soon.

Bollinger Bands: Price is oscillating around the middle band, but with the recent bearish movement, it might touch the lower band soon.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:


Sell:

  1. First target at Support level: 0.898

  2. Second target at Support level: 0.889

  3. Third target at Support level: 0.876

Stop Loss Guidelines:


Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at the Resistance level of 0.934.


Suggestion: Considering the bearish indicators, selling around the pivot point with targets set at the aforementioned support levels and a stop loss at 0.934 would be a prudent move.


NZD/USD Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 NZD/USD

Intraday Forex Signals for NZDUSD


Pair: NZDUSD


Trade Direction: Based on the chart, the NZDUSD appears to be in a mild downtrend, so the trade direction is BEARISH.


Trade Probability: Approximately 70%


Yesterday's Trend: The trend for NZDUSD was bearish yesterday as can be seen from the candlestick pattern.


Pivot Point: The pivot point marked on the chart is approximately at 0.5850.


Indicators:

  • Volatility: The Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility.

  • Moving Average (MA): NZDUSD is trading below the Moving Average, indicating a bearish sentiment.

  • Ichimoku: The chart does not depict Ichimoku cloud, so no analysis for this can be provided.

  • RSI: RSI is below the 50 mark, suggesting that there is more bearish momentum.

  • Bollinger Bands: The pair is trading close to the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition.

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:


Sell: 1st Target: 0.5802

2nd Target: 0.5760

3rd Target: 0.5731 (Support level)


Stop Loss Guidelines:


Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 0.5902 (Resistance level).


Suggestion: Given the bearish indicators and the recent downtrend in NZDUSD, consider taking a short position with the targets and stop loss mentioned above. Monitor the pair closely for any sudden shifts in momentum or breaking news events that could impact the NZD or USD.


AUD/USD  "A bar chart displaying forex currency and commodities prices with green and red candles representing trading trends over a daily time frame. The chart includes indicators such as moving average and Bollinger bands, along with the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI)."
🟢 AUD/USD

Intraday Forex Signals for AUDUSD


Pair: AUDUSD


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Yesterday's Trend: The AUDUSD pair has been experiencing a period of consolidation with attempts to move higher.


Pivot Point: Marked on the chart, it serves as a reference for potential price reversals.


Indicators Analysis:

  • Volatility: Increasing, as evident by the recent larger price bars.

  • Moving Average (MA): The pair is currently trading above its Moving Average, indicating a potential bullish momentum.

  • Ichimoku: The price is at the edge of the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting potential bullishness if it can break above.

  • RSI: The RSI is rising towards the 70 mark, which might indicate an overbought condition soon.

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is moving towards the upper Bollinger Band, indicating potential bullish momentum.

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy (BULLISH direction) Targets:

    1. 1st Resistance: 0.6423

    2. 2nd Resistance: 0.6452

    3. 3rd Resistance: 0.6505


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: If going long, set the stop loss at 0.6259, an appropriate Support level.

Suggestion: Based on the technical indicators and the pivot point, the AUDUSD pair shows signs of bullish momentum. Traders could consider a long position, targeting the mentioned resistance levels, but should be cautious as the RSI nears overbought conditions.


USD/CAD  "A bar chart displaying forex currency and commodities prices with green and red candles representing trading trends over a daily time frame. The chart includes indicators such as moving average and Bollinger bands, along with the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI)."
🟢 USDCAD

Intraday Forex Signals for USDCAD


Pair: USDCAD


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Yesterday's Trend: The pair showed a bullish trend, marked by higher highs and higher lows, but seems to have met resistance around the 1.3900 region.


Pivot Point: 1.3843


Indicators:

  • Volatility: Currently, there seems to be a slight increase in volatility as the Bollinger Bands are widening.

  • Moving Average (MA): The pair is trading just above the MA, signaling a possible bullish continuation, but caution should be exercised due to the recent resistance encountered.

  • Ichimoku: The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bullish sentiment.

  • RSI: The RSI is hovering around the 60 level, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but leaning towards a bullish momentum.

  • Bollinger Bands: The USDCAD is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, which might suggest it's nearing a resistance point and could reverse or consolidate.

Trade Direction: BEARISH. Considering the resistance faced near the 1.3900 region and the pair's position in relation to the Bollinger Bands, there's a possibility of a short-term bearish reversal or consolidation.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:


Sell:

  • 1st Target: 1.3832 (Support level)

  • 2nd Target: 1.3807 (Support level)

  • 3rd Target: 1.3772 (Support level)

Stop Loss Guidelines:


Sell: If going short, set the stop loss at 1.3927 (Resistance level).


Suggestion: Given the recent resistance encountered near the 1.3900 region and the pair's trading position concerning the Bollinger Bands, traders might consider a short position targeting the aforementioned support levels, while keeping a close watch on the stop loss to minimize potential losses.


EUR/GBP, Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
EUR/GBP

Intraday Forex Signal: EURGBP


Pair: EURGBP


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Yesterday's Trend: The pair depicted an upward movement in yesterday's session, which suggests bullish momentum.


Pivot Point: Noted around the 0.8687 level.


Indicators:


Volatility: Volume appears to be increasing, suggesting heightened interest in the pair.

Moving Average (MA): The EURGBP is trading above the MA, which can be a bullish signal. Traders often consider this as a potential sign of an upcoming bullish trend.

Ichimoku: The pair is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, further supporting the bullish bias.

RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above the 50 mark, signaling that buying momentum is currently stronger than selling momentum.

Bollinger Bands: The pair is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, which can sometimes indicate overbought conditions. However, combined with other indicators, the current trend seems bullish.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

  1. 1st Resistance: 0.872

  2. 2nd Resistance: 0.873

  3. 3rd Resistance: 0.875

❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: If going long, consider setting the stop loss at the 0.865 level, which is an appropriate Support level.


Suggestion: Given the above indicators and the bullish trend direction, traders might consider a long position in the EURGBP. However, it's essential to monitor the trade closely and adjust strategies based on real-time market conditions.


Disclaimer: Trading forex involves a significant risk of loss. Ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.

 

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Comments and analysis reflect the views of CHAMP PROFIT at any given time and are subject to change at any time. ©2023 by Chump Profit.


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