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NEWS & ANALYSIS POSTS

Trading Update: Commodities Signals: Jan 29 - Intraday

Today's Commodities Signals:


- Oil Prices Surge Amid Middle East Tensions: Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude prices ascend following drone attack on U.S. forces in Jordan.

- Middle East Unrest Spurs Oil Supply Concerns: Houthi rebels escalate attacks, hitting a Trafigura-operated fuel tanker in the Red Sea.

- Risk of Wider Conflict Heightens After U.S. Troop Attack: Analysts predict increased U.S. involvement could lead to regional energy supply disruptions.

- Market Reprices Risk of Oil Disruption: ANZ notes potential threats to U.S. and UK-linked oil tankers could alter market dynamics.

- Oil Market Complacency Shaken: IG market analyst remarks on the market's reaction to supply concerns and economic stimuli.

- Russia's Refined Product Exports Expected to Drop: Drone attacks cause refinery disruptions, leading to a significant cut in naphtha exports.

- Gold Prices Edge Up as Investors Seek Security: The precious metal sees an uptick as geopolitical risks increase.


Commodities Trading Signals

  XAU/USD (Gold)   XAG/USD (Silver)  WTI (CL-Oil)  BRENT CRUDE (OKOUSD)  COPPER (Cr)


XAU/USD Gold, A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 XAU/USD Gold

Intraday Commodities Signal - January 29, 2024


Commodity: Gold (XAUUSD)


Pivot Point: 2,020.08


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate


Friday's Trend

Gold experienced stability with the closing near the pivot point, indicating a potential for an upward trend continuation.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Slight fluctuations within a moderate range, providing stable conditions for trend movements.

  

- Moving Average (MA): Gold is trading above the MA, suggesting a bullish momentum.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, further confirming a bullish outlook.

- RSI: Hovering around the 50 mark, indicating neutrality with potential to tip into bullish territory.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is between the middle and upper bands, signaling that gold may test higher resistance levels.

- MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line, which typically points to bullish momentum.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

  - 1st Target (1st Resistance): 2,024.16

  - 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 2029.9900

  - 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 2,034.07


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: Set the stop loss at 2,014.25, aligning with the first support level to manage downside risk.


Suggestion

Current indicators suggest a bullish stance for gold with the first target set at 2,024.16. If the bullish trend persists, the second and third targets at 2029.9900 and 2,034.07, respectively, could be aimed for. Implementing a stop loss at 2,014.25 is recommended to protect the trade against any sudden price reversals.



"Promotional banner for Vantage featuring floating currency symbols like the dollar, euro, and yen with upward orange arrows, indicating growth in Forex trading. Includes a 'Trade Now' button and a disclaimer about the risks of trading derivatives."

XAU/USD Silver, A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 XAG/USD (Silver) 

Intraday Commodities Signal - January 29, 2024


Commodity: Silver (XAG/USD)


Pivot Point: 22.83


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate


Friday's Trend

Silver prices demonstrated resilience, bouncing above the pivot point, suggesting a positive sentiment could be building.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Silver shows moderate volatility, with room for price swings within the current trading range.

  

- Moving Average (MA): The commodity is near the MA, indicating a potential pivot towards a bullish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: Currently, prices are near the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting the possibility of an emerging bullish trend if prices break through.

- RSI: The RSI is just above the mid-level, signaling potential bullish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that resistance levels may soon be tested.

- MACD: The MACD line is approaching the signal line, hinting at a potential bullish crossover.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

  - 1st Target (1st Resistance): 22.95

  - 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 23.1002

  - 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 23.22


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: Position the stop loss at 22.6722, slightly below the first support level, to minimize potential losses.


Suggestion

The indicators suggest taking a bullish position on silver, aiming for the first resistance at 22.95. If the upward trend continues, the subsequent targets at 23.1002 and 23.22 could be in sight. A stop loss should be set at 22.6722 to manage risks.


WTI Crude Oil, A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 WTI Crude Oil (CL-Oil))

Intraday Commodities Signal - January 29, 2024


Commodity: West Texas Intermediate (WTI)


Pivot Point: 77.44


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: High


Friday's Trend

WTI prices closed above the pivot, pointing to bullish sentiment and potential continuation of the upward trend.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Exhibiting moderate volatility, providing room for potential price movements.

  

- Moving Average (MA): WTI is currently above the MA, indicating bullish momentum.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a sustained bullish trend.

- RSI: RSI is above the midpoint, leaning towards bullish territory.

- Bollinger Bands: Price nearing the upper Bollinger Band, which might indicate a test of resistance or further bullish activity.

- MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line, a classic bullish signal.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

  - 1st Target (1st Resistance): 78.83

  - 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 79.6433

  - 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 81.03


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: Place a stop loss at 76.6267, which is just below the first support, to protect against downside risk.


Suggestion

Considering the positive indicators, taking a bullish position on WTI, targeting the first resistance at 78.83 is recommended. If the trend maintains its strength, pursue the second target at 79.6433 and then the third at 81.03. Setting a stop loss at 76.6267 is advisable to mitigate risk.


As the oil market is particularly sensitive to geopolitical events, keep an eye on news that could affect market sentiment. Always employ prudent risk management practices when trading.



"Promotional banner for Vantage featuring floating currency symbols like the dollar, euro, and yen with upward orange arrows, indicating growth in Forex trading. Includes a 'Trade Now' button and a disclaimer about the risks of trading derivatives."



BRENT CRUDE (OKOUSD)  A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢BRENT CRUDE (UKOUSD)  

Intraday Commodities Signal - January 29, 2024


Commodity: Brent Oil


Pivot Point: 82.89


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: High


Friday's Trend

Brent Oil closed above the pivot point, suggesting a bullish stance with potential for further price increases.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Currently exhibiting moderate volatility, which provides a conducive environment for trend sustainability.

  

- Moving Average (MA): The commodity is trading above its MA, indicative of a bullish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price sits above the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming the bullish market sentiment.

- RSI: The RSI is above the 50 level, pointing to increasing bullish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: Prices are testing the upper Bollinger Band, potentially signaling an upcoming test of resistance levels.

- MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line, supporting the bullish trend.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

  - 1st Target (1st Resistance): 84.47

  - 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 85.3900

  - 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 86.97


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: Implement a stop loss at 81.9700, aligning with the first support, to protect against any unexpected reversals.


Suggestion

With the current bullish signals, entering a buy trade for Brent Oil could be advantageous, with an initial target at 84.47. If the momentum is sustained, the next targets at 85.3900 and then at 86.97 could be considered. A stop loss at 81.9700 is advised to manage the risk.


Copper  A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 Copper

Intraday Commodities Signal - January 29, 2024


Commodity: Copper


Pivot Point: 3.86


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate


Friday's Trend

Copper's closing position near the pivot point suggests a balance between buyers and sellers, with potential for a bullish breakout.


Market Trend Analysis

- Volatility: Copper shows a moderate level of volatility, presenting opportunities for significant price movement.

  

- Moving Average (MA): The price is hovering around the MA, indicating a pivotal moment that could lead to a bullish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is just below the Ichimoku Cloud; a break above could signal a bullish trend.

- RSI: RSI is near the mid-point but on an uptick, suggesting the potential for bullish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: Copper is trading near the upper range of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that it may test the resistance soon.

- MACD: The MACD line is close to the signal line, indicating that a bullish crossover could be imminent.


🎯 Profit Targets

- Buy:

  - 1st Target (1st Resistance): 3.88

  - 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 3.9027

  - 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 3.92


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines

- Buy: A stop loss could be placed at 3.8358, just below the first support level to limit potential losses.


Suggestion

The technical indicators suggest a bullish position for copper, with an initial target of 3.88. If upward momentum continues, the next targets at 3.9027 and then 3.92 could be pursued. A stop loss should be placed at 3.8358 to manage potential downside risk effectively.

 

Disclaimer: These Commodities Trading Signals are based on the current charts and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.


As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.

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