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NEWS & ANALYSIS POSTS

When One Truth Post Moves the Whole Market

You spend hours lining up your levels, working your plans, and staying sharp — and then boom, one post from the President of the United States sends the markets into orbit.


That’s exactly what happened this week when Donald Trump — campaigning hard and posting like it’s 2016 — floated a 90-day tariff pause. First hinted in a Truth Social post urging Americans to “buy stocks,” then confirmed officially just hours later.


It triggered one of the sharpest intraday reversals in S&P 500 history.

Some called it leadership. Others called it a signal. And traders? We had to manage the whiplash.


Phone screen showing "TRUTH Social" in bold text against a blurred blue background with a large white "T" symbol.

Truth, tweets, and trading traps


Here’s what I’m watching.

Markets don’t wait for facts — they move on expectation. Rumour, tone, and timing can override fundamentals, especially when the message comes from the top.


This week’s tariff U-turn didn’t just spike equities. It sent risk assets scrambling and defensive flows rotating hard.


S&P 500 (CFD) daily chartA major intraday reversal following Trump’s tariff announcement.


S&P Index chart shows fluctuating candlestick trends from May 2024 to April 2025, with a recent rise to 5,361.70, up 1.71%, in April 2025.
S&P 500 (CFD) daily chart showing sharp intraday reversal following Trump’s tariff pause announcement — a textbook sentiment swing traders had little warning for.

How it played across markets

Candlestick chart of Gold Spot/USD showing an upward trend from mid-2024 to April 2025. Current price: 3,237.930. Green candles dominate.
XAUUSD

Gold broke clean through 3,200, rallying into fresh all-time highs. With political trust wobbling and dollar softness creeping in, the move looked more like a repositioning into systemic risk protection than anything inflation-linked.


Oil price chart showing WTI crude fluctuating with a sharp drop in April 2025. Red and green candlesticks, with data on the y-axis.
WTI

Oil dipped below 55 on Trump’s renewed push for lower prices — a familiar move. The market bounced, but the message was clear: pressure may come from the top, not from OPEC or data.


USD/JPY candlestick chart showing fluctuating trends from May 2024 to April 2025. Red and green bars depict currency movements.
USDJPY

USDJPY cracked through 144, with yen strength reasserting as a mix of safe haven flows and weaker dollar themes took hold. Trump’s past frustration with a strong dollar was echoed again by his campaign advisers. The market listened.

USDJPY daily chartYen rallies on tariff shift and renewed political jawboning around dollar strength.


Platform moves and broker friction


Several retail platforms reported price slippage and brief execution delays on gold and JPY pairs during the spike. Thin liquidity and algo scrambles likely contributed. Execution in politicised markets is now part of the trader’s edge.


The legal grey area

Six Democratic senators are calling on the SEC to investigate whether anyone close to the President traded around the tariff announcement — or the Truth Social hint hours earlier.

Presidents are technically subject to insider trading laws under the 2012 STOCK Act.


But prosecution is rare and intent is hard to prove. The ‘official acts’ defence muddies the waters further.


So the legal net exists — but the ethical one is full of holes.


Final Thought

We trade in a world where one post can blow out stops, move gold by 60 dollars, and reroute FX flows in seconds.

No calendar, no preview, no signal — just narrative.

You can’t forecast that. But you can be prepared for it.


Would you still use leverage in a market where one social media post can wipe your plan off the board?

Precision over prediction. Always.


Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal views and experience from over three decades in financial markets. It is shared for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. It does not promote any trades or guarantee outcomes. Always do your own research and manage your risk. Trading is high risk and not suitable for everyone. Choose regulated brokers, understand leverage, and never trade based on opinion alone. This is a market journal, not a signal service.


Got questions, ideas, or want to receive these updates direct to your inbox?


Send me a message at info@forex368.com





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